Friday 27 July 2012

Time Called on London Finance

I've read an interesting article in Time Magazine this week, that essentially blames the London culture for the issues that are appearing in the financial sector at the moment.


I thought this was interesting, because it raises some points I discussed in a previous blog, about trust.  We hear much about the importance of the financial sector to this country's economy, which justifies the state's active role over the last couple of years.  Time points out that in the boom years up to 2007, British based financial institutions accounted for more than half of the generation of global funds.  In other words, these institutions provided the largest part of the world's liquidity.


At the same time, London is the major hub for foreign exchange, with over a third of the world's turnover in this market.  So it is no surprise that the rest of the world watches London closely, and that issues of integrity and trust start alarm bells ringing elsewhere.


The focus in this country started around the salaries of the top bankers when the companies they ran were clearly not performing well.  Bob Diamond has earned more than $150million since 2005 from Barclays.  While that raised questions about individual integrity, we now are starting to see evidence of more widespread manipulation of the markets.


Today we saw that Barclays first half performance was better than expected, but that profits are being pulled down by the fines; £290m for manipulating Libor, £450m put aside for mis-selling interest rate hedge products to SMEs and a new investigation by the FSA into 4 senior staff members.


Time Magazine quotes Democratic Audit as saying that British Institutions are "especially fragile" when compared to other EU and OECD countries.  In fact, its Audit of the United Kingdom (Wilks-Heeg, S., Blick, A., and Crone, S. (2012) How Democratic is the UK? The 2012 Audit, Liverpool: Democratic Audit.) concludes that:


"these findings strongly reaffirm what is perhaps the most important of our five overarching theme: that representative democracy as we know it is in long-term decline. Key representative institutions, most notably parliament, are fatally undermined if they are perceived to be riddled with corruption and if policy decisions are seen to be taken 'behind closed doors’ between ministers and lobby groups. "


So while the Time Magazine article may be laying the blame squarely at the door of London and its culture in the city, the important issue it raises is again one of trust.  

Tuesday 3 July 2012

Responsible Capitalism-who do we trust?

Copyright Philippa Roberts 2012

It's been a grim week already on the economic news front, as we bounce from the Libor rate fixing scandal to resignations and fines in the face of wrong-doing.  Just a quick look at this week's headlines in the FT shows Bob Diamond leaving Barclays, GSK fined $3billion by the US authorities and an ex-Glencore staff member being sued for fixing the price of cotton.



I've just been listening to George Osbourne on the Today programme and was interested to hear him say that the regulators failed and 'this causes the current crisis' (that's not an exact quote btw).  I find this comment quite astonishing as it implies that we all need someone watching over us otherwise we'll be dishonest.  Obviously that's nonsense, but the role of the regulators is important.


We are in a period of significant change at the moment.  Our institutions, and our trust in them, is part of the glue that holds society together.  David Brooks talks in The Social Animal about how institutions pass on knowledge, and norms of behaviour, and are subject to incremental change over decades and generations.  However, at the moment, trust in key institutions is low.  We have been rocked by the Parliamentary expenses scandal, the media's phone hacking, the police taking cash for information and now the banks fixing rates that ultimately impact my, and your, mortgage.


I think we will look back on this period as being significant because these institutions are important, not only for what they do, but also for providing the checks and balances on each other.  At the moment, with scandal after scandal, it is difficult to see who should be trusted to play that role.  There has to be change, because the economy will never recover unless we have trust and confidence in the country's ability to make sure the game isn't rigged.  Why would I, as a small business owner, go to a bank right now if I needed capital?  Especially when I hear from my peers that it isn't lending.  Why would I be going through tender processes for new work if I think there is an old boy network in place and the winners will be the same companies as usual?


Confidence is key.  I'm a positive person, so think that the change will happen and that it will set us on a slightly different and better course.  I also think that at some point the sun will come out this summer, so don't put money on anything I say!  The important thing is that with so much uncertainty it is difficult to have positive growth plans; better to sit tight and wait and see what happens next.  We need our institutions to be strong and trustworthy. If we don't think that we all have an equal chance of making it (in however we define 'it') then why bother trying?